Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 81795.015895 86359.140703 90923.327373 95826.800958 100942.431354 106118.706972 111748.946034
2025-03-02 73873.340045 80831.224652 87986.405422 95884.269761 104347.146961 113133.074873 122933.606180
2025-03-09 69125.181601 77783.469139 86883.285381 97139.192775 108355.005632 120226.493302 133720.416593
2025-03-16 64445.297647 74270.853840 84790.165214 96855.675774 110276.567473 124711.180676 141373.702722
2025-03-23 61741.263734 72630.239132 84473.900903 98262.198223 113820.554301 130779.592357 150608.878299
2025-03-30 59151.603984 70895.553038 83853.562805 99142.743285 116616.974784 135892.374673 158687.012274
2025-04-06 56461.328458 68865.012344 82735.242910 99305.466582 118468.706370 139839.079568 165373.869471
2025-04-13 53943.533789 66887.407908 81544.678155 99259.613598 119972.541810 143305.098803 171450.835993
2025-04-20 52542.441897 66127.840458 81686.674896 100687.942372 123123.184067 148623.023505 179642.780151
2025-04-27 51243.725748 65411.442568 81811.904904 102038.234278 126139.812246 153763.337093 187630.153867
2025-05-04 49691.524476 64312.824695 81416.031855 102710.586761 128310.761389 157888.637614 194424.306083
2025-05-11 47889.095630 62832.630883 80493.656992 102688.907027 129603.797506 160944.890968 199940.995749
2025-05-18 46428.268432 61738.633629 80016.535343 103196.985754 131543.725828 164802.830474 206476.394437
2025-05-25 44866.708099 60463.507864 79270.498502 103337.250451 133012.041458 168088.458357 212340.935421
2025-06-01 44003.370496 60028.345507 79528.780049 104687.527544 135941.705977 173132.929482 220343.122772
2025-06-08 42404.544527 58599.321467 78497.119907 104389.863702 136808.869456 175656.448518 225286.050762
2025-06-15 41740.907923 58342.644168 78913.921369 105885.066679 139885.937527 180877.202764 233537.161190
2025-06-22 40862.883082 57772.995303 78905.158893 106820.693755 142252.601805 185227.520367 240740.432723
2025-06-29 39692.791200 56780.426016 78320.588327 106993.590427 143639.235669 188358.216209 246445.539988
2025-07-06 38486.698473 55700.914911 77588.374113 106944.888206 144720.420427 191095.283035 251662.010463
2025-07-13 38009.934781 55575.949914 78079.566589 108462.082649 147789.749048 196321.328544 260003.343635
2025-07-20 37523.697179 55418.687703 78513.687734 109896.159298 150752.997884 201426.671750 268223.274920
2025-07-27 36766.664571 54868.303858 78409.012887 110610.150418 152781.775281 205357.275048 274984.542291